Logistical Friction
Insurance premiums for tankers in the Gulf of Oman have increased, with some shipowners avoiding the Strait of Hormuz. This logistical strain is preventing Brent from falling toward the $60 range despite bearish 2026 supply data.
OPEC Strategy
OPEC+ members have signaled they are comfortable with prices in the $70 range and are unlikely to increase production, prioritizing price stability over market share in the current environment.