Economic Drag and OPEC Strategy
Slowing global growth is the primary headwind for Brent. While OPEC+ maintains its production pauses, the market remains skeptical that these cuts can counteract the relentless growth of production in the Americas, leading to a bearish technical outlook.
Shipping and Logistics Risk
Minor support is being found in the form of increased insurance rates for tankers in the Caribbean and Black Sea. However, these premiums are viewed as cyclical and unlikely to drive a sustained bull market without a full-scale regional conflict.