Venezuelan Supply Impact
Resumed Venezuelan exports under new agreements are expected to ease regional refining bottlenecks and exert downward pressure on Brent-linked grades. Supertankers have reportedly begun departing Venezuelan waters for the first time in months.
2026 Bearish Targets
The EIA projects Brent will average $56 for the full 2026 year, reflecting a market that is fundamentally well-supplied. Unless a full-scale disruption of Middle East logistics occurs, the path of least resistance for oil remains lower.