Market Rebalancing
With Venezuelan barrels returning to the US Gulf Coast, the scramble for alternative heavy grades has subsided. This is allowing Brent spreads to narrow, reflecting a well-supplied Atlantic basin.
2026 Bearish Targets
The consensus for 2026 remains bearish. Unless OPEC+ announces deeper cuts, the sheer volume of non-OPEC supply growth is expected to keep a lid on prices for the foreseeable future.