Risk Premia vs Stock Builds
Brent spot prices averaged $63 in December but have spiked in January on geopolitical friction. However, with non-OPEC production from Guyana and Brazil hitting records, any rally is viewed as a tactical selling opportunity for long-term hedgers.
2026 Demand Cooling
Weak global economic growth and a shift toward alternative energy sources in China are expected to limit Brent's upside. Analysts project a step-down in average prices every quarter of 2026 as the surplus of nearly 2 million bpd materializes.