Supply Side Discipline
Chinese steel mills are implementing planned maintenance to manage output during the seasonal lull. However, blast furnace utilization remains above 86%, indicating that mills are prepared for a swift restart if spring demand signals improve.
Developer Liquidity and Demand
Beijing's recent moves to exempt major developers from certain leverage restrictions are providing some optimism for rebar-intensive projects in Q2. For now, the market is in a 'wait-and-see' mode regarding the property sector recovery.