Structural Deficit
Major mining houses have warned that the 2026 deficit could exceed 500,000 tons. With lead times for new mines measuring in decades, the only short-term fix is price-induced demand destruction which has yet to materialize in the tech sector.
Strategic Stockpiling
Reports of strategic stockpiling by European governments concerned about US trade tariffs have added a new layer of demand. This front-loading of imports is tightening the Atlantic market.