Refinery Output and Margins
US refiners are maintaining high run rates to maximize distillate production, inadvertently creating a surplus of gasoline. This oversupply is cushioning the market against any temporary price spikes from winter storms.
Consumer Price Relief
The EIA projects a broadly deflationary trend for motor fuels in 2026. Stable energy costs are acting as a tailwind for consumer spending, despite localized volatility in the broader energy complex.