Gasoline RBOB Futures Edge Higher on Refinery Maintenance Risks

Refinery Maintenance Cycle

Several major US refiners have announced planned maintenance for late February. This reduction in capacity is expected to help clear the current winter-grade inventory overhang, supporting wholesale spreads into March.

2026 Retail Outlook

The EIA projects retail gasoline prices will average $2.92 for the full year 2026. This lower energy cost environment is acting as a tailwind for consumer spending, despite localized wholesale volatility.