Inventory and Supply Glut
The decline in gasoline prices is a direct result of high refinery efficiency and ample crude oil availability. US gasoline stocks have shown a steady build over the last four weeks as refineries focused on maximizing output before the winter maintenance cycle. This oversupply is putting downward pressure on retail prices across almost all states.
Impact of Crude Oil Surplus
With WTI crude oil trading significantly lower than its 2024 averages, the cost of the primary feedstock for gasoline has plummeted. Analysts expect retail prices to remain depressed through the first quarter of 2026, as the global oil market enters what is expected to be a multi-year surplus phase.