Central Bank Demand
Official sector purchases have been a relentless source of support for gold throughout December. Central banks are diversifying reserves at a record pace to hedge against sovereign debt risks and currency volatility. This structural demand has created a high floor for prices, limiting any downside even during periods of dollar strength.
Monetary Policy Outlook
The market is heavily positioned for a dovish pivot. Traders are pricing in multiple rate cuts for the coming year, which lowers the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like bullion. Analysts believe that as long as US inflation data remains cooperative, the path of least resistance for gold remains upward.