The Warsh Pivot and Dollar Strength
The transition to a potentially more hawkish Federal Reserve has forced a rapid repricing of interest rate expectations for 2026. This has revitalized the USD, making gold significantly more expensive for foreign buyers and triggering a massive unwinding of the 'Fed independence' fear trade.
Structural Support from Central Banks
Despite the paper market collapse, structural support remains robust. J.P. Morgan Global Research predicts central bank accumulation will continue to be a pillar for gold, with long-term targets still eyeing the $5,400 range as diversification away from fiat currencies persists.