Naphtha Markets Consolidate Amidst Weakness in the Energy Complex

Crude Correlation

Naphtha is a primary feedstock for gasoline blending, and its price is closely tethered to the RBOB gasoline and crude oil benchmarks. With gasoline prices at multi-year lows, naphtha has struggled to gain traction. The commodity is currently in a consolidation phase, trading in a narrow range as participants await clearer signals from the 2026 oil market.

Long Term Petrochemical Growth

Despite current price softness, the long-term outlook for the global naphtha market is positive, with valuation expected to reach $123.8 billion by the end of 2025. Rising demand for plastics and chemicals in developing economies is driving a steady increase in market size, ensuring that naphtha remains a critical component of the global industrial supply chain.