Feedstock Switching Resistance
As propane prices spike due to winter heating demand, naphtha has regained its competitive edge for flexible crackers in Asia. This has slowed the previous substitution trend, providing a temporary boost to naphtha demand.
Refining Surplus Dynamics
As global gasoline demand slows, the byproduct supply of naphtha from refineries remains an inventory burden. This structural surplus is expected to keep benchmark prices near the bottom of their 2026 trading range through the summer.