Octane Blending Economics
Toluene's value is often linked to the gasoline 'crack spread.' With gasoline prices at four-year lows, the demand for expensive aromatic octane boosters has dropped. Refiners are favoring cheaper alternatives, leaving toluene oversupplied in the spot market.
Chemical Demand Outlook
Growth in the paints and coatings sector in India and Southeast Asia remains a bright spot, but it is not yet sufficient to offset the loss of global blending volume. Analysts expect Toluene to remain range-bound until the spring driving season arrives in Q2.