Strait of Hormuz Anxiety
The potential for tanker seizures is currently outweighing the bearish 2026 surplus narrative. Traders are hedging against a disruption to the 20 million barrels per day that transit the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint.
Inventory Tightness
A larger-than-expected drawdown in US commercial crude stocks reported last week has tightened the prompt physical market, providing a technical floor for WTI.